College football projection record, 2026
Every game our model projects is graded after it's played, against the projection we showed before kickoff. Wins and losses alike, every game, not just the ones we made videos about.
- Picked the winner: the team the model projected to win, vs. the final score.
- Side vs. the line: whether the final margin landed on the model's side of the market line.
- Side vs. the total: whether the final total landed on the model's side of the market total.
Ties with the line or total are pushes and don't count toward percentages. A game is graded on the numbers in our published content for it, otherwise the last final projection before kickoff. A game without a final projection before kickoff isn't graded. Early-season college numbers that were mostly the market's are left out.
Model vs. market isn't a prediction of who's right. Not betting advice.
A record is a description of the past, not a promise about the future.
The first graded week will appear here after its games are played.
Updated October 3, 2026.